MEANWHILE MEDIA HEADLINES LOOK BLEAK.
As of today, the MAGA base remains a significant force, but recent polling indicates "buyer's remorse" is growing among specific segments of Trump’s 2024 coalition.
While core MAGA voters remain largely loyal, widespread discontent over the economy and the ongoing war with Iran is beginning to erode support among younger and Hispanic voters.
Happiness and Approval Among the MAGA Base Overall, President Trump’s approval rating has dipped significantly since he took office in January 2025. Current aggregated data from RealClear Polling and The Economist places his approval between 37% and 41%.
• Core Loyalty: Among "MAGA Republicans," approval remains relatively high, with some polls previously showing nearly universal support. However, even within this group, "strong approval" has dropped from 26% to 21% over the last year.
• Economic Anxiety: A primary driver of unhappiness is the cost of living. Reuters reports that consumer sentiment among Republicans is near its lowest point since January 2025 due to high gas prices and inflation.
• Conflict and Discontent: Support for Trump’s handling of foreign policy is low, with 49% of likely voters rating it as "poor" amid the Iran war. Voter Regret: Who is "Ruing" Their Vote? True "regret"—where a voter would change their choice if given a do-over—is registering at historically high levels for a second-term president.
• General Regret: Between 13% and 16% of 2024 Trump voters now say they would vote differently or not vote at all.
• Demographic Cracks: Regret is most concentrated in the groups that helped secure his narrow 2024 victory: o Young Voters (18-29): Roughly 17% express regret. o Hispanic Voters: Approximately 16% express regret. o Non-MAGA Republicans: 23% of Republicans who do not identify as "MAGA" regret their vote.
• Hypothetical Do-Over: Polls indicate that if the 2024 election were held today, the shift in these voters would result in a net 4.1-point swing, hypothetically reversing his popular vote win into a loss.
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