Trump Remains
Unpopular; Voters Prefer Obama on SCOTUS Pick
Public Policy
Polling's newest national poll find that although Donald Trump is a little bit
more popular than he was during the campaign, a majority of Americans still
have a negative opinion of him. 43% of voters view Trump favorably to 51% who
have an unfavorable view of him. On PPP's last national poll, in late
September, Trump's favorability rating stood at 39/55. Trump's popularity
continues to pale in comparison to Barack Obama's. Obama ends his final year in
office with a 50/45 approval spread. When it comes to the question of who
voters trust more to pick the new Supreme Court justice, Obama beats out Trump
52-45.
Voters
don't think that Trump's Electoral College victory while losing the popular
vote is really fair- 50% think the candidate who receives the most votes
nationally in the election should become President, to only 37% who disagree
with that concept. Over the course of the campaign we found there was a cult
like aspect to Trump's support, where any idea he put forth a substantial share
of his supporters would go along with. We see that trend continuing post
election. 60% of Trump voters think that Hillary Clinton received millions of
illegal votes to only 18% who disagree with that concept and 22% who aren't
sure either way.
A
couple other findings related to the vote in this year's election:
-40%
of Trump voters insist that he won the national popular vote to only 49% who
grant that Clinton won it and 11% who aren't sure.
-Only
53% of Trump voters think that California's votes should be allowed to count in
the national popular vote. 29% don't think they should be allowed to count, and
another 18% are unsure.
There's
been a lot of attention to the way fake news has spread and been believed
especially by Trump supporters and that's borne out in our polling:
-73%
of Trump voters think that George Soros is paying protesters against Trump to
only 6% who think that's not true, and 21% who aren't sure one way or the
other. (I personally had to explain to my Grandmother that this wasn't true a
few weeks ag0 after someone sent her an e-mail about it.)
-14%
of Trump supporters think Hillary Clinton is connected to a child sex ring run
out of a Washington DC pizzeria. Another 32% aren't sure one way or another,
much as the North Carolinian who went to Washington to check it out last
weekend said was the case for him. Only 54% of Trump voters expressly say they
don't think #Pizzagate is real.
There's
also been a lot of discussion recently about how we might be in a post-fact
world and we see some evidence of that coming through in our polling:
-67%
of Trump voters say that unemployment increased during the Obama
administration, to only 20% who say it decreased.
-Only
41% of Trump voters say that the stock market went up during the Obama
administration. 39% say it went down, and another 19% say they're not sure.
Trump's
been in a variety of fights with the media recently, and he's losing all of
them:
-By
a 49/40 spread, voters say the New York Times has more credibility than Trump.
-By
a 48/41 spread, voters say CNN has more credibility than Trump.
-While
Trump's favorability rating is negative at 43/51, Saturday Night Live's is
positive at 48/33.
Trump's
certainly been effective at turning his voters against the various entities
he's feuding with though. Among Trump voters the Times has a 7/71 favorability
spread, CNN has an 11/76 favorability spread, and SNL has a 17/61 favorability
spread. The musical Hamilton has an 11/45 favorability with Trump voters,
compared to 61/3 with Clinton voters.
-There's
still a strong national consensus that Trump needs to release his tax returns.
59% say he needs to do that, to only 29% who say it's not necessary.
-Voters
are pretty split on who they'd like to see as the next Secretary of State with
20% each wanting Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney, 13% for John Bolton, 11% for
David Petraeus, and 7% for Jon Huntsman. Among Trump voters the preference is
strongly for Giuliani who gets 32% to 21% for Bolton, 14% for Petraeus, and 10%
for Romney. Among Clinton voters support is strong for Romney at 28%, followed
by Huntsman at 10% with no one else in double digits.
-Steven
Bannon is unpopular among voters who are familiar with him, with 18% rating him
positively to 33% with a negative opinion. The good news for Trump is that only
51% of voters are actually familiar with Bannon though. Kellyanne Conway is
much better known, with 66% name recognition, and she has a narrowly positive
image among voters nationally at 34/32.
-Congress
is about as unpopular as ever, with only 10% of voters approving of it to 75%
who disapprove. Paul Ryan has a 37/49 approval rating as Speaker and that makes
him look positively popular next to Mitch McConnell who has a 16/56 approval
rating nationally and is the least popular politician nationally in the country.
-Finally
in these divided times we find there are some issues that Clinton and Trump
supporter do agree on:
*There's
89/8 support nationally for expanded background checks on gun purchases,
including support from 96% of Clinton voters and 81% of Trump voters.
*There's
84/8 support nationally for barring those on the Terror Watch List from buying
guns, including support from 90% of Clinton voters and 80% of Trump voters.
*There's
76% support nationally for increasing the minimum wage to at least $10 an hour,
including support from 95% of Clinton voters and 54% of Trump voters.
MORE
ON PPP:
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Public
Policy Polling (PPP) is a U.S. polling firm based in Raleigh, North Carolina.
PPP was founded in 2001 by businessman Dean Debnam, the firm's current
president and Chief Executive Officer.
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